This is a short blog on some fire related research and organisations. Unrelated directly to pwsFWI but definitely useful to follow if you are interested in fire – wildfire and/or society related issues regarding large wildfires. Especially the running webinars are interesting (and free) !
Recently (in 2019) an ITN project PyroLife started (what does ITN stand for btw?), led by Wageningen scientist dr. Cathelijne Stoof.
Apart from being a great initiative, it became quickly very interesting because of the free webinar which started 3 June 2020 (and running till the end of july 2020). The presentations of this Symposium are published on the YT channel of PyroLife (don’t start binge watching these presentations, prevent overkill).
I would like to point to the the presentation of Adrián Cordil of 10 June 2020 (at moment of writing not yet published) on thePyroLife YT channel linked above, scientist at the University of LLeida, Spain and associated with Tecnosylva S.L. (twitter account). He presented the work of Technosylva regarding simulation software, put to work in different parts of the world in the context of combatting wildfire situations.
Estimating Fire Weather is one aspect of this. An interesting piece of software to look at is Wildfire Analyst also available for Android. Check it out.
pwsFWI is unfortunately not related to this [large] project, but the results of your weather station, and your understanding of meteorology, definitely might give you an entry to understanding what they are doing there in Spain.
Since 21 april 2020 CumulusUtils has its own subforum on the Cumulus Support forum. That makes things clearer and creates better oversight. However, many links in the blogs before that date contain a link to the old release topic. I did change some recent ones but left the older topics untouched. If you encounter such link, remember to go here and not there.
More than 6 months ago, I wrote a blog on the how and why of the programming of CumulusUtils. It is time to do that again because in 6 months, over the winter and now deep into the Corona Virus crisis, a lot has happened with CumulusUtils. When I wrote the first blog, it was mainly about the inspiration and development of pwsFWI. And it still is the most important module of the whole program (at least, it is for me). But while working on pwsFWI and seeing where it was deployed triggered something. Beside having the pwsFWI, one needs to think about the weather. It is not just a black box, it is about understanding the weather and it’s effect on vegetation and animals (including humans). To understand the weather you need to look at the parameters, the measurements. Continue reading
I designed and developed my Fire Weather Index (FWI) for Personal Weather stations (PWSs) starting with basic logic reasoning (wet wood does not burn), with scientific background and made it usable in the context of PWSs. I found a very interesting and confirming article from October 2016: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests .
In my previous blog I described why and how the predictions on pwsFWI were implemented. Also I promised a short analysis:
We’re now in version 1.8.3 and it seems all to be working OK. The testing is back on the meteorological level, trying to find out how much a two day ahead prediction will differ from the actual calculation when the day has past.
In this blog I will show the results and try to interpret them.
Please note that this is not a scientific or even a full analysis as I am lacking the resources and the data for that.
The past months I blogged several times about my Fire Weather Index for personal weather stations on the basis of Cumulus as data acquisition software. So if you’re new here and don’t know what pwsFWI is about, check out the previous blogs on the subject. Currently, pwsFWI is part of a small software package named CumulusUtils. This meteo website/blog is the home of the package which is distributed through the Cumulus support forum. If you have a weather station which can cooperate with Cumulus, don’t hesitate and get it, it’s free.
Last night Daylight Saving Time switched back to its winter position. That itself is nothing special. Well, maybe it is because the EU is really thinking of abandoning the twice per year hour shift, it is biologically deregulating.
But that is not why I write this [short] message. The switch itself showed up nicely on the temperature graph of my weather station and, as if it was saying Winter is Coming, exactly on the time of the hour switch, the temperature fell from 15 to 10 degrees within an hour and a half.
It shows all nicely on the chart (after the break). Continue reading
One of the goals of the current implementation of pwsFWI is to see its behaviour under all conditions. It is therefore very interesting to see that behaviour in the two stations in semi-arid zones (in Australia and in Spain) where long dry periods may suddenly alternate with rain after which the drought returns. Continue reading
You know it is coming, the end of summer, but where I live it usually comes slowly and somewhere end of October you know it is gone. Not this year. This year it was in an instant, well, we may have some nice weather in October of course, but the end was there. And I will show you with some graphs.
Now that version 0.9.0 of my Fire Weather Index for personal weather stations (pwsFWI) has been released in the context of CumulusUtils (I may separate it later into an independent program), it is time to look at formula corrections.