Tag Archives: pwsFWI

Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire

I designed and developed my Fire Weather Index (FWI) for Personal Weather stations (PWSs) starting with basic logic reasoning (wet wood does not burn), with scientific background and made it usable in the context of PWSs. I found a very interesting and confirming article from October 2016: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests [1].

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Analysis of pwsFWI prediction

Introduction

In my previous blog I described why and how the predictions on pwsFWI were implemented. Also I promised a short analysis:

We’re now in version 1.8.3 and it seems all to be working OK. The testing is back on the meteorological level, trying to find out how much a two day ahead prediction will differ from the actual calculation when the day has past.

In this blog I will show the results and try to interpret them.
Please note that this is not a scientific or even a full analysis as I am lacking the resources and the data for that.

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Predictions of pwsFWI

Introduction

The past months I blogged several times about my Fire Weather Index for personal weather stations on the basis of Cumulus as data acquisition software. So if you’re new here and don’t know what pwsFWI is about, check out the previous blogs on the subject. Currently, pwsFWI is part of a small software package named CumulusUtils. This meteo website/blog is the home of the package which is distributed through the Cumulus support forum. If you have a weather station which can cooperate with Cumulus, don’t hesitate and get it, it’s free.

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Behaviour of pwsFWI with first rain

One of the goals of the current implementation of pwsFWI is to see its behaviour under all conditions. It is therefore very interesting to see that behaviour in the two stations in semi-arid zones (in Australia and in Spain) where long dry periods may suddenly alternate with rain after which the drought returns. Continue reading

Sites which carry the Fire Weather Index pwsFWI

This blog message contains a list of sites, which carry the pwsFWI Fire Weather Index. Please look here for more information, or look here for it’s distribution location on the Cumulus support forum. Look here for its scientific background. Check out the map as well for stations carrying CumulusUtils. 

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On the programming of CumulusUtils

Introduction

Having developed theoretically a Fire Weather Index (see my pwsFWI) and creating a first implementation of it in C for analytical purposes, I needed to take the software a bit further to make it more robust and useful. I had some feedback which made me realize it was urgent to have a good Fire Weather Index (FWI) for Personal Weather Stations (PWSs).

This blog is about the context and the actual programming requirements.

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Evaluating FWI for Personal Weather Station

In An effort for a Simpler Fire Weather Index I described my new FWI and the theory behind it. In short, this pwsFWI (as I have baptised it) is meant to be a generic FWI, valid everywhere and independent of geology and vegetation.

The pwsFWI is a (not too) complex measure of local meteorology, an indicator composed of humidity, wind speed and temperature. It fluctuates under ‘normal’ conditions and if it becomes dryer (a longer period without rain, the number becomes higher. As soon as it starts raining, the value starts dropping.

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An effort for a simpler fire weather index

In this blog I will propose a fire weather index for PWSs. The goal is to get fuel parameters out of the equation. This means that species, litter type or geography, will not play a role as they do in the Canadian FWI. As such, it connects with a recent new development described by Goodrick et.al. 2 .

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